The post-mortems have begun on how well Hurricane Joaquin was predicted, and one of the key themes is why the flagship global model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ...
A newly operational model, known as the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS), has been launched by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), an intergovernmental ...
The top panel shows the OpenIFS forecast of a storm event in September 2016, at 78 km horizontal grid spacing, compared against the ECMWF operational forecast at the time, on a 9 km grid in the bottom ...
A Super El Niño may be on the way, but scientists warn that rapidly accelerating ocean warming could have far greater impacts ...
The European forecast model already outperforms all of the world’s other global forecasting systems, including the North American GFS model. The most overt demonstration of the European model’s ...
As Hurricane Joaquin gained wind over the Atlantic today, meteorologists scrambled to figure out where it’s headed next, leaving the rest of us scratching our heads. Will this storm currently ...
The first eleven months of 2025 were Earth’s second-warmest on record and nearly 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial era average. “It is very likely that 2025 will rank among the three ...
El Niño conditions are likely to develop this fall in the tropical eastern Pacific. But there is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the potential impacts of this pattern shift.
The chances for a planet-warming super El Niño this year are rising, according to an updated model forecast issued by ECMWF ...
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